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News Junction > Blog > Business > US jobs growth of 353,000 far outstrips estimates
US jobs growth of 353,000 far outstrips estimates
Business

US jobs growth of 353,000 far outstrips estimates

Published February 2, 2024
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Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.

The US economy added 353,000 jobs in January, almost twice as many as expected, leading investors to rein in expectations of interest rate cuts.

Economists had expected the country to have added 180,000 jobs last month, according to an LSEG survey.

Treasury yields jumped while stock futures trimmed previous gains after publication of the figures, as expectations of early rate cuts were dashed by the labour market’s strength.

“This should cool the market sentiment toward early rate cuts,” said Stephen Stanley, chief US economist at Santander.

He added that although the 353,000 figure was “exaggerated by seasonality, the data was “strong across the board”.

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The two-year Treasury yield, which moves with interest rate expectations, built on earlier gains, rising 0.19 percentage points on the day to 4.39 per cent. 

Futures traders scaled back bets that the US Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in March. Following the jobs numbers, expectations of a cut were around 19 per cent, compared to 37 per cent before the report.

Fed chief Jay Powell sought earlier in the week to cool speculation about a March rate cut, warning that it was not the central bank’s “base case.”

Traders also took off bets on an interest-rate cut in May after Friday’s job figures, putting the odds at around 84 per cent. Before the report, a cut in May had been fully priced in.

S&P 500 futures dropped following the release, but remained higher on the day.

Revised figures in Friday’s jobs report showed that the US had also added many more jobs in than previously thought, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

US workers’ average hourly wages grew by 0.6 per cent to $34.55 — up 4.5 per cent over the past 12 months.

The January non-farm payrolls figure compares with a December number of 333,000, revised up from a first estimate of 216,000.

The figure for November was also upgraded, by a more moderate 9,000 to 182,000.

#jobs #growth #outstrips #estimates

TAGGED:Estimatesgrowthjobsoutstrips
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